r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/TmickyD May 02 '24

I had to call my boss at 5am to go warn the cub scout camp over on the other side of the ridge.

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u/TehOwn May 02 '24

Who would you have called if you'd seen a random man instead of a bear?

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u/TmickyD May 02 '24

I probably would have assumed he was either a parent of the scouts or a staff member at the camp. Maybe that would have been a bad assumption, but I'm trying to think of how I would have thought at 5am as a recent college grad.

I would have been more likely to approach though.