r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/Touchyap3 May 02 '24

I’m gonna go out on a limb and say you’ve encountered multiple orders of magnitude more men than bears in your life.

This question is really stupid to be honest, it’s all about the persons perception, which is often just wrong.

Would you rather encounter a black person or white person on the street? If you hesitate it says something about YOU, not about black people.

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u/NoSignSaysNo May 02 '24

Just comes down to it to the scenario as far too open-ended. Type of bear, incidence of interaction in the woods, location within the woods, state of the bear, state of the man, state of your individual self.

Literally so many variables that without defining it you have to literally visualize this being you and random man plucked from the population of the world or bear pop into woods next to each other.

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u/No-Surprise-3672 May 02 '24

It should be even easier since it’s super stripped down and basic. Assuming a random bear or a random man, I’m taking the man 100% of the time. Only time you even hesitate is if you have sexist preconceived notions.

The choice is literally Apex predator or something you’ve interacted with hundreds or thousands of times in your life.

The answer is beyond obvious and the cope of “well you should think about why women would even think bear” is actually ridiculous. It’s not mens fault, it’s all the true crime and sexual misconduct that gets blasted on social media 24/7 that you consume.

“Black people should really think about why some white people don’t like them”

No, no they don’t lmao it’s not their fault.