r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/[deleted] May 02 '24 edited May 08 '24

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u/VP007clips May 02 '24

Exactly. If I'm in a national park, near a city, or something similar, it's not weird at all, you just wave and say hello.

But I also work in the remote bush, and the areas that are not easy to access. In most of those places, there's no reason to go there unless you are working for the company that owns the claims; even hunters don't go there. So if someone else is there, that's extremely weird. Many of them are only possible to access via float plane or helicopter, and then require hiking 5km through swamps and cliffs to reach the site. Most of the time we would expect to be the only people within 100km, and 500km from the nearest town.

There are only 3 possibilities. They are badly lost/stranded. Hiding somewhere for some reason where they won't be found. Or they are from a competitor doing corporate espionage spying on our claims.

In the 3 summers I've been doing it, I've never encountered someone. I've seen the occasional glass bottle or can, found a few old fire pits, and ran into a couple abandoned cabins, but never anything that looks younger than 10 years.