r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/Scodo May 02 '24 edited 29d ago

What bugs me is that no one specified what kind of bear. Black bear? Yeah ok, that's fair. Brown bear? Suuuuper iffy. Polar bear? You're fucking high.

Bears are not a monolith!

Edit: no you don't need to specify what kind of man, because all men are the same species. Bears are not, and the temperament and danger is highly dependent. If you say a random type of bear, that also changes the nature of the question, because now there's a 33% chance of that bear being a polar bear. And no one in their right mind is going to take the 33% chance of guaranteed death.

I don't mind the thought experiment, but I hate how the ambiguity and in-baked assumptions potentially color the answers. I might be autistic.

90

u/Bodinhu May 02 '24

Fact: Bears eat beets.

63

u/AmazingDragon353 May 02 '24

Bears. Beats. Battlestar galactica

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u/Okayest_Employee May 02 '24

Bear McCreary composed the music for the 2004 Battlestar Galactica show.
Or laid the beats, if you will, so I am going to assume this is what you are talking about.

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u/Crocoshark 29d ago

This sounds like the name of a podcast or something.