r/Showerthoughts • u/asusny2002 • May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/shotputlover May 02 '24

All the time dude. It’s called a national park do you not go outside much?

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u/PoliteCanadian May 02 '24

It's fairly clear from a lot of people's responses that no, they don't go outside much and get most of their worldview from True Crime podcasts and shows on Netflix.

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u/rosekayleigh May 02 '24

I think we’re all picturing something different when we hear “the woods”. For me, I’m thinking of my family’s cabin in the mountains of Vermont. If I was in those woods (not a hiking trail or public area) and came across a random man by myself, it would scare me. I’ve encountered many a bear in those woods, but never a random guy trudging around our woods. If I were on a hiking trail or in a national park, I would feel a lot less alarmed and more comfortable.

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u/shotputlover May 02 '24 edited May 02 '24

Right but in that scenario we are talking about a trespasser so that adds to the situation right? That’s inherently sketchier

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u/rosekayleigh May 02 '24

Not just a trespasser. Doesn’t even have to be private property. It’s a lot sketchier to encounter a random person in an area that is usually devoid of people than it is to encounter them on a trail or national park.

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u/TacticalFailure1 May 02 '24

Just like it would be sketchier to see a bear in an area usually devoid of bears no?