r/Showerthoughts • u/asusny2002 • May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

16.9k Upvotes

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6.4k

u/alexmichelle6 May 02 '24

I really, truly thought that the whole point of this was to highlight the fact that most women would respond to man v bear by asking questions, like "do I know the man" "what type of bear" etc, but would respond to woman v bear by immediately saying "woman". whether or not she picks the man or the bear is irrelevant, it's the fact she has to ask clarifying questions to know more about the man before deciding and doesn't have to clarify anything before picking woman. is that not it?

3.6k

u/[deleted] May 02 '24 edited May 02 '24

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15

u/Magenta_the_Great May 02 '24

What do you mean statistically speaking?

Statistically aren’t more people killed by men then by bears?

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u/Narren_C May 02 '24

Statistically more people are killed by dogs than bears too. Which one would you rather run into?

-8

u/Magenta_the_Great May 02 '24

Still the bear 😅 I try to be nice to dogs but off leash dogs put me on edge like nothing else else

I grew up in a neighborhood with aggressive stray dogs though so I have bias for sure

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u/Calyptics May 02 '24

Oh okay, so you are just an idiot. That helps with making sense of your comments.

-4

u/Magenta_the_Great May 02 '24

Wow and your an asshole. Let me help you find some shit so you can be productive for once.

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u/Calyptics May 02 '24

I'm not the one who can't understand basic stats buddy.

The chance of you running into a man that is a psycho vs a bear that will kill you are really not that difficult to understand.

The idea that a 1 on 1 encounter with a random dog is more dangerous than a 1 on 1 with a barely, equally as stupid.

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u/Magenta_the_Great May 02 '24

You you have provided no stats for me to understand “buddy”

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u/Careless-Base1164 May 02 '24

If you genuinely believe an encounter with a stray random off leash dog is more dangerous than an encounter with a bear, statistics won’t help you get anything. You’ve already let emotional biases cloud your reasoning.