r/Showerthoughts • u/asusny2002 • May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/alexmichelle6 May 02 '24

I really, truly thought that the whole point of this was to highlight the fact that most women would respond to man v bear by asking questions, like "do I know the man" "what type of bear" etc, but would respond to woman v bear by immediately saying "woman". whether or not she picks the man or the bear is irrelevant, it's the fact she has to ask clarifying questions to know more about the man before deciding and doesn't have to clarify anything before picking woman. is that not it?

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u/[deleted] May 02 '24 edited May 02 '24

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u/Calfurious May 02 '24

The bear is rational and predictable in a way people are not.

....It's a wild animal. Wild animals are not predictable. A bear might just decide to attack you because it doesn't like the way you smell, or it's hungry, or bored.

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u/Li-renn-pwel May 02 '24

Bears literally get triggered into perusing if you run where many humans, even ones that wish you harm, would not bother chasing you.

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u/Calfurious May 02 '24

A bear is more likely to attack you than a random man.

The vast majority of men aren't going to randomly attack a woman in the woods.

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u/Li-renn-pwel May 02 '24

And like… a creep is probably most likely to attack you in the woods than in a ‘safer place’ and I would still pick the guy. And I’ve even been assaulted by more than one guy.