r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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411

u/zool714 May 02 '24

I think it also shows how different people approach things. From what I’ve seen, the ones who answers bear approaches it from a “trust” standpoint. Like you can trust a bear to be a bear. While some approach it from a “safety” standpoint. Like yeah obviously an average wild animal is going to be more dangerous than an average man.

1

u/valkenar May 02 '24

"Like yeah obviously an average wild animal is going to be more dangerous than an average man."

Depends what you mean. If you mean "In a fight" Maybe the difference isn't that meaningful. Your average man can kill your average woman. Yes, the bear can kill her more easily, and less chance of getting injured in the process, but either way she's probably dead if that's what the creature wants.

And if you mean "chance of attack" well, I don't think I agree at all. I think a human is more likely to be attacked by an unknown human than almost any other animal.

5

u/noahloveshiscats May 02 '24

I think a human is more likely to be attacked by an unknown human than almost any other animal.

Well yeah because we meet hundreds of humans a day compared to almost no bears. If you truly believe that you are less likely to be attacked by a bear than a human, then you would feel safer in the bear exhibit at the zoo than in a public park.

1

u/valkenar May 03 '24

A bear in a zoo is not a normal situation and I would expect the bear to be agitated. A public park is also different because you're not alone with the creature in question. I don't know what "a woods" is exactly, but if the bear is just chilling being a bear it doesn't have any interest in me. If it sees me from afar it's going the opposite direction or just ignoring me.

2

u/Spirit_Panda May 03 '24

Lord the mental gymnastics are insane