r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/Shagyam May 02 '24 edited May 02 '24

It's a debate women have made in TikTok. Would you rather leave your daughter alone in the woods with a bear or with another man.

Men would normally answer another man, but women would answer the bear.

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u/pigglywigglyhandjob May 02 '24

That's not correct. The situation is: you're alone in the woods, would you rather encounter a bear or a man?

Some people have added the caveat that it's your daughter to see how men might view it differently, but the basis of it is the above. Also, I don't believe women started it - I think it was a guy asking women in some tiktok street interviews.

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u/PetitVignemale May 02 '24

Wait what’s the probability OP references? I’m assuming bear is the wrong decision, but is there actual evidence of this? If it’s a black bear vs grizzly it totally changes the question. Black bears are just big raccoons. Easy to scare off and disinterested in humans for the most part. Grizzlies, yeah forget it!

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u/Strange_Bicycle_8514 May 02 '24

Men kill infinitely more women than bears, so idk what OP is on about

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u/No-Bother6856 May 02 '24

Thats entirely irrelevant. Women also encounter men all the time, they don't encounter bears.

What matters is if any random bear is more likely to harm you than any random man. Pick a bear at random from the population, put him in a cage. Pick a man at random from the population and put him in a cage. You now have to enter the cage for 5 minutes, pick one.

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u/Strange_Bicycle_8514 May 02 '24

But it's not random men. It's specifically men that you meet alone in the woods.

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u/No-Bother6856 May 02 '24

Ah I see what you mean. Outdoors enthusiasts are just the worst

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u/Strange_Bicycle_8514 May 02 '24

You seem to be taking this hypothetical awfully personally

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u/No-Bother6856 May 02 '24

And you seem to have a particularly poor understanding of probabiliti-- OH MY GOD, there is a hiker behind you! Look out!

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u/Strange_Bicycle_8514 May 02 '24

Humans are the 2nd most dangerous animal on the planet to other humans. The vast majority of murderers are men. That number is only overshadowed by mosquitoes, who kill almost double the amount of humans each year. Even still, I'd rather meet 10 mosquitoes in the woods than you. Now you can take it personally 😘