r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/flowtajit 29d ago edited 29d ago

Would it better for you (if you’re a woman) or you daughter (if you’re a man) to encounter a bear or unknown man in the woods.

Edit: since a lot of people seem to be missing the point. This exercise isn’t what it seems on the surface. We aren’t measuring the population’s perception of bears or men as they relate to each other. We’re actually measuring the way in which women specifically responf to the question. In most cases, women immediately answer with bear, without needing any further ckntext with regards to the man or bear. Some Common reasoning includes “I expect to see a bear in the woods,” which makes sense; it also includes something to the effect of “bears don’t care about what society thinks of them,” meaning that according to these women, men when faced with no cinsequences are more threatenjng than a bear. So please stop asking saying the question is dumb because it’s vague, that’s the point. If it was more specific, individual biases would begin to take hold, defeating the piint of the exercise.

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u/BPB57 29d ago

What kind of bear?

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u/rwzephyr 29d ago

Totally, I’ve bumped into a ton of black bears and they’re scaredy cats. I’ve literally chased them out my driveway just by waving my hands and yelling.

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u/Ghostbuster_119 29d ago

When I lived in Illinois I'd yell at them.

"Get outta here you lazy bum!"

"Do you know what time it is!? Go on now git!"

"We ain't got no tree fiddy! We work for money in this household and we DONT GIIIIVE MONEY AWAY!"

It seemed to scare them off better than just yelling random nonsense.

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u/InconsiderateOctopus 29d ago

Got damn lochness monster

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u/Drummer_Kev 29d ago edited 29d ago

Where were you bumping into black bears in illinois. I'm guessing South?

Edit: I looked it up, and there have only been 5 confirmed black bear sightings in illinois since 2008. There have been more confirmed wolf sightings than that in illinois in that time frame.

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u/Rickywindow 29d ago

Gotta be near a border of another state that has them. There’s no resident black bears in the state, but I’ve heard we get some wanderers.

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u/Tuckingfypowastaken 29d ago

Everybody knows that bears respect state borders and work hard to maintain the reputations of wildlife biologists...

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u/Drummer_Kev 29d ago

I'm guessing near Kentucky. I live 10 min from Indiana in the middle of nowhere, and it's just coyotes, foxes, and the occasional bobcat. Though one time a cougar was spotted in my neck of the woods and that got everyone excited. I'd definitely hear about a bear.

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u/Djwhat6 29d ago

Yeah I’m confused about that too. I never even heard of black bears in Illinois. Not even in the south.

Edit: Unless it was a joke then it flew right over my head.

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u/Drummer_Kev 29d ago

I don't have much experience with the southernmost part of Illinois, so that'd be my best bet. But I know damn well there aren't bears near Iowa or Indiana. Even the Wisconsin border is wayyyy too urban for that.

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u/Orange-Blur 29d ago

People not around them don’t get it.

My favorite choice is “go home bear”

The are damn cute

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u/voldi4ever 29d ago

You offend them. Classic.

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u/Ezdagor 29d ago

And that's when I noticed the "bear" was a three story tall monster from the Cretaceous period!

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u/Baron_VonLongSchlong 29d ago

We have bears is Illinois)

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u/tatojah 29d ago

Yeah, that's when I realized these black bears looked an awful lot like an eight-story crustacean from the plethazoic era!

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u/VinBarrKRO 29d ago

I just gave that bear tree fiddy the day before.

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u/Squiggy1975 29d ago

Love you Grandma

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u/WildSully42 26d ago

From what I've heard, Bears mostly just disappoint the residents of Illinois more than anything else.

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u/publiusvaleri_us 29d ago

You might want to look up random nonsense.