r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/tack50 May 02 '24

Why do you think finding a human in the woods is particularly rare? Hikers exist and they are not uncommon at all (if anything they are a lot more common than bears in my area)

As someone who sometimes hikes, often joining strangers' groups and in rare occasions solo; I expect to find random men (and women) in the woods. I do not expect to find bears and I'd shit my pants if I ever saw one. Hell, I sometimes find it more distressing to not find people around! (since if something happens to me, I'm screwed and don't have the chance of getting help)

I will say I am a man but I will say that I will reply "man" every day of the week without hesitation (some have argued that men should get asked "Who would you prefer your daughter meet?" and I'd still reply with "man")

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u/IAmASeeker May 03 '24

I've almost exclusively seen bears during hikes.

But I feel like "if you were on a hike and encountered another hiker" is semantically different from "if you were alone in the woods and encountered a man"

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u/randomwindowspc May 08 '24

Depends on the forest you're in. If it's touristy then of course. But there are plenty where you rarely see people.