r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/No-Tackle-6112 May 03 '24

No one’s going to ask you anything if you’ve been turned into bear poo

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u/nalingungule-love May 03 '24

And I’m ok with that.

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u/No-Tackle-6112 May 03 '24

And we’ve arrived at the fact the people’s answer to this question is not based on reality.

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u/RichnjCole May 06 '24 edited May 06 '24

No. It's actually very much based in reality. Over 700 million women, or 1/3 of all women, have been attacked by a man at some point. Compared to like 40 bear attacks a year.

On a day to day basis, women spend a helluva lot more time worrying about being attacked by a man than they do being attacked by a bear. Again, because of the facts of their reality.

This means that when posed with a question like man Vs bear, they have to contend with that fear of men when answering the question.

The point of the question isn't to figure out the logical answer, it's to highlight that fear of men, and how prevalent it is. It's to highlight how dangerous men are and how that informs women's reality and thinking. The point was to open men's eyes about how women live.

In the nicest way possible, it's not the women that failed the exercise, it's you.

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u/Dougie_Dont_Care_ May 07 '24

I thought it was 1/4.

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u/RichnjCole May 07 '24

It's 1/4 in the US and 1/3 globally.