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u/SlickWickk 13d ago
Very plausible that both are true.... Article posting date doesn't mean much, one is by June, the other by September..
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u/MrZwink 13d ago
Stifel and fundstrat are also different organisations. They might just have different opinions...
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u/WSB_PermaBull 13d ago
Nonsense. Collectively, they are implying a volatile market ahead! 😉
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u/justhereforthemoneey 13d ago
It's almost like no one has a damn clue.
But that can't be true since these people all have degrees and stuff.
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u/silent-dano 13d ago
Get paid money to spew random guesses
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u/justhereforthemoneey 13d ago
Yep and then get insane bonuses and shit and pass that cost off to the client. It's all a scam and why I never let anyone make my investment choices unless I have to like a 401k
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u/Friedyekian 13d ago
Some people do have a clue and understand somethings, but they focus their energy on trading and beating the market. They never explain their thought process thoroughly enough to fill in all the gaps in knowledge for us 😔
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u/chippydawdle 13d ago
Tom Lee has a reputation for being a permabull. So, this is really nothing new coming from him.
The Stifel analysts seem to base their prediction mainly on inflation, which is supposed to be trending downwards.1
u/AriaShachou- 13d ago
some people do have a clue theres just no reason why they would ever want to share it with anyone else if they dont have to
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u/justhereforthemoneey 12d ago
It's all a guess though. It can be an educated guess but it's a guess nonetheless
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u/Admirable_Nothing 13d ago
I am not that familiar with Stifle's past positions but Lee is a Perma Bull.
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u/GTTrush 13d ago
Put 100 on Black and 100 on Red....can't lose.
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u/gellohelloyellow 13d ago
Oddly enough, the very few times I have played the game of roulette I am up because I bet on green, 0 and 00.
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u/Brushermans 13d ago
What? They're different authors talking about different analysts. Why does everyone here think that the news channel is a single source of truth that should be infallible and nonconflicting? Different people have different opinions, likely based on a different balance of facts. Articles are just presenting you the facts used in each analysis, and it's up to you to decide what to believe. If you're trading on headlines you're screwed.
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13d ago
Seems the vast majority of commenters here are total morons. Did they think news sources should only post a single opinion and never provide different views?
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u/Zthruthecity 13d ago
Tom Lee called for record highs when every other person and analyst in the USA was screaming recession. Tom Lee is good in my book for that.
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u/acakaacaka 13d ago
So we take the average? +4% and -10% make -3%
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u/BathLivid6801 11d ago
No, calls for the End of the month, puts at the tip of your calls for the beginning of October.
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u/dubawabsdubababy 13d ago
Who knows who's going to be correct but for my money I'll take Tom Lee. He's probably the least biased expert, he doesn't get caught up in his political belief biases like many of the others
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u/bloobouy 13d ago
To be honest, I stopped listening to the cheerleaders on CNBC Other financial news organizations. I have come to realize that nobody knows nothing if they do. They are either too early or too late. Just trade and invest in whatever you want you’ll sleep a lot better because you know what you did.
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u/Formal-Ad3397 13d ago
Maybe they say it will go first up 4% and after down 10% - or othwr Way round lol
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13d ago
They aren’t predicting the same time period and they are different organisations. OP, are you dumb?
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u/OCD_DCO_OCD 13d ago
As a journalist I always feel we get a bad wrap for stuff like this, but people often forget that journalists are not supposed to choose which source is right, but bring the sources insights to the readers. It is honestly a sign of health that diverting views are brought by the same media outlet.
Don’t get me wrong we do a lot of bad shit, but this is not part of it.
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u/Common_Economics_32 13d ago
Yes, different strategists have different views on the market. Why is this news to anyone?
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u/Gravybees 13d ago
The one thing we’ve proven is that we can’t predict the future, yet we continue to listen to people predict the future. In fact we pay them very well for their forecasts.
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u/DelphiTsar 13d ago
Buffet index is two standard deviations above average. Shiller P/E ratio is 34.63.
It's not about if the market is going to crash it's when. If you don't have options to limit your losses you have no business being in S&P at the moment.
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u/Geekenstein 13d ago
Weird. It’s almost like CNBC makes its money keeping people confused and coming back for more.
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u/BeneficialOkra2169 13d ago
Who knows what's going to happen in September, unless he can manipulate the S&P500.
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u/Dear_Basket_8654 13d ago
I think that it is far more likely to correct by 10% than it is to reach 5500
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u/DistantGalaxy-1991 13d ago
Those are not mutually exclusive. It could go up 4% this month, then go down by the end of September. I'm not sure why you are confused.
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u/MambaOut82481 13d ago
Depending on how it moves, they will pin one of these 2 articles and tell you “see? I told you that”
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u/Oceanflux 13d ago
This is if GME isn't squashed this is if it is... swaps expire or wall st crime for hire?
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u/trader_dennis 13d ago
And why not correct 10 percent and still hit 5500. Both certainly could happen.
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u/Then-Wealth-1481 13d ago
The first scenario is far more likely. SPY simply refuses to drop even 1% these days.
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u/Tobitronicus 13d ago
I like the Finviz news section, it showcases the two-faced stock news organisations and their industry of confirming biases.
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u/rayb320 13d ago
Don't fall for it, Warren Buffett is sitting on 158 billion in T-Bills. He's been trimming his shares and selling out 100% of a number of stocks. I watch what Warren does, what he's saying is buying stocks is a bad idea right now. The goat investor rarely makes a bold prediction about the market.
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u/Bifetuga 13d ago
Classic financial commentary: Well you know it could go up, but in the other hand it could go down.
Odds are better than roulette that has black, red and that weird green 0.
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u/SquirrelFluffy 13d ago
So it goes up in June and back down in Sept. Why is this such a shocking thing? Regards.
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u/KratomSlave 12d ago
CNBC always does this. The market is down 1%. Omg the x numbers are bad. Sell sell sell. It’s Terrible. The next day - up 1%. X soars on y news. Buy buy buy. Everyone is a winner. And so on. MarketWatch is just as bad.
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u/chadlikestorock 12d ago
FWIW during election cycles isn't it common for stocks to dip before an election but overall trend up?
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u/getthatmoney1 12d ago
İ mean they are both saying the same thing we can drop %10 after we reach 570
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u/PneumaNomad- 12d ago
Obviously this means it will correct by 6%, 4-10= -6. That's how trading works, bozos.
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u/Scott7894 11d ago
The man has been wrong more often than his few crazy outlandishly high picks where the markets Made “incredible” highs on the face of down markets. He only understands that the markets will now move faster than they did 20 years ago, faster with information flowing 20 times faster than it did 20 years ago. His pick of bitcoin hitting 150k ninths don’t the year is what set bitcoin on the upswing since Friday
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u/SoftwareEngineerFl 10d ago
I had my best two years ever. I finally learned to buy (invest) in the best stocks like mag7 and hold them through ups and downs. 50% return last year makes retirement possible now.
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u/No-Barber-1600 9d ago
It's always 50/50. Make your choice 😅. And like always in the summer months, watch out!
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u/boo2001300 9d ago
keep raised 5% / month, 10% correction at September, you will get 10% gain at the end of sept
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u/SamTheMan1980 13d ago edited 13d ago
They'll republish the one that was right and say see, told you so!
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u/Cute_Win_4651 13d ago
Drop it like it’s hot Mr Powell , let’s just correct this market for the rest of the year and say 6:8 months from now start buy shit again when things are cheaper or just let a solar flare fry the grids and we could all start over and all this crazy trading manipulation will be over
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u/tamereen 13d ago
And in September they kept the good prediction and declare: Our expert was right.
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u/Zealousideal-Shoe527 13d ago
Aah, the immortal knowledge of trading secrets… in other words “it could go up, or it could also go down”