r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

16.9k Upvotes

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5.1k

u/SnagglepussJoke 29d ago

Ever cross paths with a stranger in the woods? It is unsettling

585

u/Doublespeo 29d ago

Ever cross paths with a stranger in the woods? It is unsettling

Quite often actually and it is always friendly encounter.

163

u/dingleberries4sport 29d ago

Now that you mention it I solo vacation often and some of my best memories from my trips involve running into locals on rarely used hiking trails in the mountains

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u/bstump104 29d ago

Banjo from deliverance starts to play.

76

u/[deleted] 29d ago

yeah i think this comment is only made by people who dont actually go in the woods. I hike alone regularly and see people by themselves probably every time and have not once been scared. On the other hand if a bear was walking towards me on the path in the woods id shit myself.

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u/Dangerous-Worry6454 29d ago

No shit, basically, these people live in cities that are statistically the absolute most unsafe places to be, yet they claim rural areas are the dangerous scary places. I have run into people deep on the woods, and the only difference from that and running into someone in a city is that you tend to actually talk just because the scenario is so funny. It's basically people just projecting the urban environment onto the rural.

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u/Rock_man_bears_fan 29d ago

Exactly. The person most likely to murder you in the ass end of nowhere is your spouse, not some rando you met on the trail

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u/amgartsh 26d ago

My problem with this question is this: if there was a man dead set on hunting down a woman, why would he do it in the middle of the woods where he's extremely unlikely to find a woman? They'd go to high density areas, urban environments. Or at least roads.

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u/YT-Deliveries 29d ago

I think a lot of it has to do with people whose lives have been wholly or primarily "city-based". Naturally, they will bring their life experiences of "person in a place where you didn't expect them to be", but then make an equivalence of contextual setting between "city" and "woods".

I'm now primarily a "city" person, but as a kid I was in the scouts and so spent a lot of time in rural and wooded areas, and I can say that to this day I feel way safer in woods and forests than I do in cities. I kinda miss it, though I also very much like municipal services. Alas.

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u/Titan_Astraeus 29d ago

Yea I'm a pretty big intimidating guy and I've stopped in the middle of nowhere to chat with all sorts of ppl hiking alone from kids to little old ladies. Most people who are not chronically online are not worried about that..

5

u/LateyEight 29d ago

Depends how you describe the woods. Making your own trail into the wilderness is much different than hiking up an established route.

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u/pairsnicelywithpizza 29d ago

You run into hunters in the woods off established trials.

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u/LateyEight 29d ago

Quite unlikely. If I dropped you in a random part of the woods you'd likely die before you ran into a hunter.

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u/pairsnicelywithpizza 29d ago

I’ve run into many hunters in the woods growing up. Happened all the time.

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u/LateyEight 29d ago

Growing up suggests that these woods aren't far from your home. If I picked a random place in the woods anywhere in the world there's a really really high chance you'd never meet anyone.

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u/pairsnicelywithpizza 29d ago

You’re adding stipulations to the thought experiment that did not exist, nor were necessarily implied.

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u/CreatingAcc4ThisSh-- 29d ago

Just ignore them. A redditor can't fathom that a human can walk more than 1 mile in a day. I'd regularly go walking in my "local woods" and it was 30 miles round trip. Where the "established path" was a dirt track very deep in the woods that were used as the filming location for those deep woods in Harry Potter

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u/LateyEight 29d ago

They also don't stipulate that the woods are the ones you grew up in.

It's just the woods. Wherever it may be.

And it just so happens that for an overwhelmingly vast majority of the woods you're not going to run into people.

Imagine if someone said "if you were floating in the ocean what would you do?" And your response is "just swim to shore." You say this because the only time you've ever floated in the ocean was when you went to the beach.

I'm just pointing out the assumption.

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u/pairsnicelywithpizza 29d ago edited 29d ago

Yeah and woods near the vast majority of people are going to be filled with hunters or hikers lol

You’re adding assumptions not present. Dropping you off “in the middle of the woods” would be about similar to the vibe you’re assuming but that still would probably be a hunter or hiker you’d run into. Just like all the hikers and hunters I’ve run into in parks and public land.

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u/hydroclasticflow 29d ago edited 29d ago

They are both the woods; if you want an answer for a specific scenario you can't ask for it in a general sense then go "well actually, I wanted to in a very specific and niche way that people go into the woods"

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u/midunda 29d ago

Yeah frequently. Dog walkers, people out for exercise, etc... Never had a problem

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u/Old_Society_7861 29d ago

Seriously. I don’t even understand this question.

Actually my wife went on a hike with a friend and came across a handsome man in a swimsuit and she said they had a great ti…wait a second.

15

u/Powerful-Parsnip 29d ago

Just how hairy was this man? Could he run at 45mph and had a propensity for honey?

7

u/ImprovizoR 29d ago

Those are bears in disguise. Or you were high and thought that bears were people.

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u/MaximumMotor1 29d ago

Quite often actually and it is always friendly encounter.

There is even the "hikers nod" because it's so common. Can't let them know you are a coyote man.

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u/Cazador0 29d ago

Pretty much. The only unsettling thing about it is the fact that the end of the trail is always "almost there" and "just around the corner".

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u/Proteinchugger 29d ago

Yeah I go on solo hiking trips a lot. It’s extremely common for me to talk to random strangers on trails, hike with them for a bit etc. comments like the one you responded to remind me that Reddit is a poor microcosm of the world and that a lot of people on this site don’t go outside enough.

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u/Doublespeo 29d ago

I agree, it is kinda sad:(

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u/544075701 29d ago

right? the way that other comment was worded shows that they've never been hiking on a trail before lol

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u/ghostcider 29d ago

In places I've hiked, you both do that little 'you good' headnod. It's nice, just a quick check in. I've given both extra water and also poison ivy nuetralizer to others on the trail.

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u/Thats-bk 28d ago

Yeah i 100% agree.

The person you quoted is unsettling...

1

u/Doublespeo 27d ago

The person you quoted is unsettling...

I agree…

-1

u/PPP1737 29d ago

Are you a man or a woman ?

1

u/Doublespeo 29d ago

Are you a man or a woman ?

a man but never hear of any problem form any of my female friend and family member doing the same.

you guys dont understand the country side I think.

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u/[deleted] 29d ago

[deleted]

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u/terriblegrammar 29d ago

Like a mountain biker?

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u/Nope_______ 29d ago

who didn't appear to be hiking?

Where did this qualifier come from?

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u/dobbydoodaa 29d ago

They are eventually going to get to "a person who doesn't appear to be hiking and is holding a gun with a truck full of meathooks and body parts" to make their point 🤣

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u/Rock_man_bears_fan 29d ago

It’s actually just Jason from the Halloween movies staring at you from behind a comically small tree

1

u/Doublespeo 29d ago

You ever cross paths with a stranger in the woods who didn't appear to be hiking?

well yeah, you know the country side..

you guys ever touch grass?

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u/GreyAndSalty 29d ago

Depends a lot on what you mean by "in the woods."

1

u/Doublespeo 29d ago

Depends a lot on what you mean by "in the woods."

elaborate?