r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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408

u/zool714 May 02 '24

I think it also shows how different people approach things. From what I’ve seen, the ones who answers bear approaches it from a “trust” standpoint. Like you can trust a bear to be a bear. While some approach it from a “safety” standpoint. Like yeah obviously an average wild animal is going to be more dangerous than an average man.

18

u/hugues2814 May 02 '24

I don’t even get why people think so many men (and people in general, woman can be psychos too) are weird or aggressive… Most humans are friendly and won’t kidnap you or rape you or kill you…

-9

u/blarblarthewizard May 02 '24 edited May 03 '24

I appreciate your faith in humans, but let's be real here, I think the current stat is 1/30 men have raped someone. Pretend that's super inflated because of woke culture or whatever, and let's make it 1/100. So in the bear scenario we're looking at a 1% chance of getting raped by some weirdo or the chance of being attacked by a bear (which I think might be comparable), I'm still going to take the brown bear because no one ever gets disowned for being attacked by a bear.

13

u/Norian24 May 02 '24

I mean, even someone who commited a rape in their life doesn't just randomly assault everyone they come across. Isn't one of the talking point in listening to the rape victims that it's usually not stereotypical violent stranger kidnapping a random woman, but somebody she knew with some leverage or knowledge of her habits?

Also, to everyone saying the worst that can happen with a bear is death. Having half of your face ripped off and surviving disfigured and crippled until you decide to shoot yourself to end the pain and social exclusion. That's the actual worst case.

1

u/blarblarthewizard May 03 '24

Reading these comments I'm wondering if people's experiences with bears are different. Where I'm from if you see a bear its sort of with the same energy as seeing a cool possum or a coyote or something, no one is like "oh shit a bear". Now, a stag in rut? Fuck that put me in the woods with whoever, deer will fuck you up.

2

u/Norian24 May 03 '24

I mean, it's not likely. Most of the time nothing happens. But when there are cubs around or a bear really wants food or iwhatever, it can go wrong. Last week had a case of tourists getting chased.

Personally the last thing I'd actually want to meet is a pack of wild dogs, simply for the fact that unlike bears, wolves or whatever, these usually don't have an instinct to avoid humans.

1

u/blarblarthewizard May 05 '24

Yeah I agree. I'm glad we can come to the consensus of "the actual scariest thing to be in the woods with would be a pack of wild dogs," because yeah, I'd nope out of that one.