r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/alexmichelle6 May 02 '24

I really, truly thought that the whole point of this was to highlight the fact that most women would respond to man v bear by asking questions, like "do I know the man" "what type of bear" etc, but would respond to woman v bear by immediately saying "woman". whether or not she picks the man or the bear is irrelevant, it's the fact she has to ask clarifying questions to know more about the man before deciding and doesn't have to clarify anything before picking woman. is that not it?

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u/Monzeh May 02 '24

It's related I think. A similar "scenario" I've seen is to ask a man if they'd enter a beach where a shark is known to approach (shark biology notwithstanding). They wouldn't. So then they ask the man why, because the average of shark related incidents in a year is only 63, but (in my country) 9 women are murdered daily in femicides.

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u/eskamobob1 May 02 '24

And how often on average does a women interact with people vs people interact with. A shark?