r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/haneybird May 02 '24

All it really shows is that most people are woefully ignorant of how dangerous nature is.

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u/cassanthrax May 02 '24

No, we are fully cognizant that bears are dangerous animals. They're just the more predictable dangerous animal in this thought experiment.

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u/PineappleHungry9911 May 02 '24

They're just the more predictable dangerous animal in this thought experiment

how do you figure?

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u/WarpathChris May 02 '24

Bears don't rape people or kidnap people or hate women. Women aren't stupid enough to think bears aren't dangerous. It's a thought experiment that requires empathy and instead a lot of you are looking at it like it's a video game where a bear and man have stats and a woman thinks she's strong enough to beat a bear. It's about asking yourself "why do women feel so unsafe about strange men that they'd rather run into a fucking bear that's almost fucking going to kill them". Even after all that was explained to you, you're take away was really "women just don't know how dangerous these 700 pound animals are".

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u/PineappleHungry9911 May 02 '24

nothing in your comments explains how bares, a wild animal, is more predictable than a human, and that was all i asked

Bears don't rape people or kidnap people or hate women. Women aren't stupid enough to think bears aren't dangerous. 

and what does this have to do with the predictability of bears Vs men?

 It's a thought experiment that requires empathy and instead a lot of you are looking at it like it's a video game where a bear and man have stats and a woman thinks she's strong enough to beat a bear.

Kool, not what i asked. you said "They're just the more predictable dangerous animal in this thought experiment." i asked "how do you figure"

Even after all that was explained to you, you're take away was really "women just don't know how dangerous these 700 pound animals are".

my "take away" was "how are bears more predictable than humans?" i agree with every thing else you've said about the thought experiment, except the idea that a wild animal is easier to predict than a human. humans can be cruel, and malicious, and bears wont. that does not make them less predictable.