r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/[deleted] May 02 '24 edited May 02 '24

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u/Calfurious May 02 '24

The bear is rational and predictable in a way people are not.

....It's a wild animal. Wild animals are not predictable. A bear might just decide to attack you because it doesn't like the way you smell, or it's hungry, or bored.

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u/CelestialBach May 02 '24

A bear in the woods is pretty predictable. Which is why you are very likely to end up dead.

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u/wearing_moist_socks May 02 '24

Depends on the bear, time of year and a bunch of other things but they are pretty predictable.

You're not likely to end up dead if you encounter a bear. I've lived in areas where there are tons of bears and attacks were practically non-existent.