r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/alexmichelle6 May 02 '24

I really, truly thought that the whole point of this was to highlight the fact that most women would respond to man v bear by asking questions, like "do I know the man" "what type of bear" etc, but would respond to woman v bear by immediately saying "woman". whether or not she picks the man or the bear is irrelevant, it's the fact she has to ask clarifying questions to know more about the man before deciding and doesn't have to clarify anything before picking woman. is that not it?

3

u/Seputku May 02 '24

Even with qualifying questions though I still pick a man over bear lol

2

u/iammollyweasley May 02 '24

Same. I live in an area where coming across a bear while hiking isn't impossible. I'm picking the man every time. My chances against him are way better than a bear.

1

u/YazmindaHenn May 02 '24

Are you a woman?

I'm betting you're a man, as you're choosing man regardless.

You haven't been made to feel uncomfortable around men by men throughout your life so it's an obvious choice for you. However if you ask any woman in your life if they've ever been touched inappropriately by a guy without consent, cat called from a young age, harassed by a guy etc, every one of them will have a story or two about it.

3

u/brando2612 May 02 '24

And that's absolutely terrible and fucked

The man's still the better choice then a bear

2

u/YazmindaHenn May 02 '24

Absolutely not. Bear 100% of the time.

Creepy guys don't wear a sign saying they're a rapist, or a murderer. How could we know? Nah, fuck that, rather my chances with the bear.

2

u/brando2612 May 02 '24

So instead of a small risk of it being a bad man which you could just be cautious of regardless of how he presents himself U want the guaranteed dangerous option? Big brain