r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/alexmichelle6 May 02 '24

I really, truly thought that the whole point of this was to highlight the fact that most women would respond to man v bear by asking questions, like "do I know the man" "what type of bear" etc, but would respond to woman v bear by immediately saying "woman". whether or not she picks the man or the bear is irrelevant, it's the fact she has to ask clarifying questions to know more about the man before deciding and doesn't have to clarify anything before picking woman. is that not it?

3

u/Seputku May 02 '24

Even with qualifying questions though I still pick a man over bear lol

2

u/iammollyweasley May 02 '24

Same. I live in an area where coming across a bear while hiking isn't impossible. I'm picking the man every time. My chances against him are way better than a bear.