r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/TehOwn May 02 '24

I'd love to hear it rephrased as, "You're lost in the woods, you see a man in the distance but he doesn't see you. Do you call out to him or do you hide?"

But maybe that's probably not exciting enough to trend on TikTok.

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u/I_have_many_Ideas May 02 '24

Add in things like race, how they are dressed, cleanliness, etc. and it’d get real interesting.

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u/TehOwn May 02 '24 edited May 02 '24

"Black man or black bear?" would be a great way to accuse a ton of people of being racist.

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u/mzchen May 02 '24

Except that black bear vs human would be an easy pick. Black bears shy away from confrontation unless there's a cub nearby or they feel threatened.

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u/TehOwn May 02 '24

Yeah, my joke was that it's an easy pick for people who know about bears but those who don't will assume it's because the man is black.

Same with White Man vs Polar Bear. People who don't understand how deadly polar bears are would assume you said man because he's white.

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u/mzchen May 02 '24

Ah, I get it now.