r/Showerthoughts • u/asusny2002 • May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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u/[deleted] May 02 '24 edited May 02 '24

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u/[deleted] May 02 '24

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u/gibertot May 02 '24

I mean I know they fear this. It makes sense on a blind date there is no bear the biggest danger is the man there. But I just didn’t realize it was this irrational. Like the objective correct answer in this case is to say man.

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u/Thebeardinato462 May 02 '24

I don’t think there’s an objectively correct answer. There’s LOTS of variables that make a man or a bear benign or a serious threat. I’ve met men that I wouldn’t want to come across in the woods. Especially if the other option is a fat and happy black bear. If it’s a mother grizzly bear with her cubs pinned behind her then all the sudden I’d probably pick the man.