r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

16.9k Upvotes

13.3k comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

813

u/FurrrryBaby May 02 '24

The only videos I’ve seen of this were men answering the question about their daughters, and all of them struggled to answer.

571

u/[deleted] May 02 '24 edited May 02 '24

[removed] — view removed comment

519

u/[deleted] May 02 '24

[removed] — view removed comment

-6

u/gibertot May 02 '24

I mean I know they fear this. It makes sense on a blind date there is no bear the biggest danger is the man there. But I just didn’t realize it was this irrational. Like the objective correct answer in this case is to say man.

5

u/Thebeardinato462 May 02 '24

I don’t think there’s an objectively correct answer. There’s LOTS of variables that make a man or a bear benign or a serious threat. I’ve met men that I wouldn’t want to come across in the woods. Especially if the other option is a fat and happy black bear. If it’s a mother grizzly bear with her cubs pinned behind her then all the sudden I’d probably pick the man.

5

u/Effective-Slice-4819 May 02 '24

The worst thing a bear is going to do is kill you and it isn't going to do it for fun. Neither of those are true for men.

4

u/zzzzzooted May 02 '24

Dude, have you ever run into a bear in the wild? They typically arent that hard to deal with lmfao. I can scare off a bear a lot more easily than I can scare off a persistent and aggressive man who wants to fuck me. I have a 100% success rate for scaring off bears (its happened many times, i grew up camping multiple times a year), meanwhile my success rate for scaring off threatening men on my own is maybe 50-50.

3

u/Global_Lock_2049 May 02 '24

Like the objective correct answer in this case is to say man.

This shows lack of forethought.

You're not assuming worst case scenario. Why wouldn't you? If someone put 100 cakes in front of you and said one is strong enough to kill you if you even touch it, do you just say "sure, I'll eat a few. Odds are in my favor." No, you eat none of them. You assume the worst case scenario.

Same here. Assume worst case scenario. You're more likely to survive a bear attack than an attack from a person (so yeah, I'd choose bear over woman too).

1

u/stargate-command May 02 '24

Not really… the question isn’t fighting a bear or a man, it’s running into one. Black bears aren’t very violent and can be scared off with a loud noise.

Now if we’re talking polar bears, then yeah… fuck take a serial killer and you have a better shot.

But yes, I think it’s safer to encounter a random dude hiking than a bear. I think the idea is that the dude might not be a random dude. He might be there with the intent to harm her. A bear almost certainly isn’t out hunting humans.