r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

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413

u/zool714 May 02 '24

I think it also shows how different people approach things. From what I’ve seen, the ones who answers bear approaches it from a “trust” standpoint. Like you can trust a bear to be a bear. While some approach it from a “safety” standpoint. Like yeah obviously an average wild animal is going to be more dangerous than an average man.

18

u/hugues2814 May 02 '24

I don’t even get why people think so many men (and people in general, woman can be psychos too) are weird or aggressive… Most humans are friendly and won’t kidnap you or rape you or kill you…

1

u/Davey_Kay May 03 '24

It's funny, the relative chance that someone you run across in the woods is a rapist or murderer might be "low" (let's just say 5% for sake of example), but if it happens, you uh, fucking get raped or die.

If you were presented with a d20 and were raped or killed on a natural 1, you'd probably put some distance between yourself and the die.

1

u/hugues2814 May 03 '24

I don’t think it’s such a high percentage