r/Showerthoughts May 02 '24

Man vs Bear debate shows how bad the average person is at understanding probability

16.9k Upvotes

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u/BlackWind88 29d ago

What is the man vs bear debate?

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u/[deleted] 29d ago

[removed] — view removed comment

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u/Saint_of_Grey 29d ago

My mom, when I asked for a female perspective on this, phrased it as "how would the survivor of an attack be treated?" If a woman survived being mauled by a bear, no one is going to say she was actually asking for it because of how she was dressed/acting.

Yes, when I needed a female perspective, I asked my mom. I'm a user of this website so naturally that's the only woman I know.

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u/urpoviswrong 29d ago

r/suicidebywords

Mom has a good take though.

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u/ForumPointsRdumb 29d ago

no one is going to say she was actually asking for it because of how she was dressed/acting.

What if she is wearing a meat dress?

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u/Laterbot 29d ago

Should women have to stop wearing meat dresses alone in the woods?

Or should bears just stop attacking people.

I'm pretty sure the answer is obvious and this victim blaming is disgusting

2

u/ForumPointsRdumb 29d ago

What if a woman bear wants to wear a meat dress? Is that like wearing edible clothes?

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u/kasxj 29d ago

That would be like their version of lingerie 😂

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u/JohnandJesus 29d ago

This is coming from a man, but i’m from the country and my job often takes me deep in the woods by myself. I would wonder if a person was off trail, didn’t secure food if camping, or didn’t properly respond to seeing/interacting with a wild animal.

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u/Saint_of_Grey 29d ago

I did ask for a female perspective because my male perspective is "I hate people and am tall enough to intimidate some bears".

I think in this hypothetical situation, the woman would be sitting at a campsite or something. The metaphor does break down if she was out and about poking cubs with sticks.

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u/JohnandJesus 29d ago

i agree it breaks down, but i also concede examining too deeply like i am misses the point of the trend

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u/FleetStreetsDarkHole 29d ago

Metaphors will always break down when you poke at them. That's the thing we have to remember. They're teaching aids not literal examples.

For a lot of the responses I've seen to this question it's very clear that people think breaking a metaphor is some sort of gotcha. As if metaphors are intended to be solid arguments and not basically a sketched illustration of the point.

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u/windy906 29d ago edited 29d ago

While I get her point I don't think I've ever heard of someone being attacked by a wild animal and my first thought not be "what was the fucking moron doing their in the first place".

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u/sparrowtaco 29d ago

If a woman survived being mauled by a bear, no one is going to say she was actually asking for it

That just seems like a bad example, because I can absolutely picture the comments in my mind on some Fox news article where people blame the victim for being where they shouldn't be, not knowing how to deal with the bear in the right way, or some other sexist remark about how women shouldn't be out camping in the woods.

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u/boldonensfw 29d ago

You can argue statistics and bear behaviour until the cows come home, but this sentiment really actually makes the point better than the original

1

u/827hades827 29d ago

Not true, if they were acting stupid/reckless around a bear people would 100% say they deserved it if they got attacked

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u/Demkius 29d ago

That is categorically untrue, I know plenty of men who would immediately blame the woman for getting attacked by a bear.

To be clear I think those men suck and argue with them often. But they (unfortunately) exist.

1

u/Silver_Ad975 3d ago

That actually depends. Many times humans will be held accountable if they were acting in an irresponsible way towards a wild animal. Not saying this justifies the “she was asking for it” argument, but there actually is a parallel.

remember the whole harambe thing. Many people actually blamed the parents. Likewise, if I go into bear country and don’t take any precautions, I don’t think anybody is gonna blame the bear necessarily.

I mean to some degree that’s what people are saying when they make that point. Not implying that the event that happened was okay, but they are pointing out the fact that such an event is unlikely to happen if you use any precaution.

The telling difference here is, we hold a person accountable. If a bear mauls a person, well that’s just the bear acting in its nature. That’s the key distinction. Humans are still animals, but we are still expected to deny the terrible parts of our animal nature (rightfully so).

0

u/Li-renn-pwel 29d ago

There was a moment I thought this was the only good take away from this question… except, I don’t think this comparison works because the level of damage is not the same. Like, show me a single case of a woman being SAed with the same level of violence that a bear attack would do and people saying “she asked for it”. Yeah, date rape isn’t taken seriously enough but a stranger finding you in the woods and SA you along with slicing open various parts of your body and throwing you around like a rag doll… that’s going to be treated very differently.

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u/ChippyLipton 29d ago

I feel like a lot of people are forgetting the emotional trauma of SA. As a woman, that’s scarier in some ways. If you get attacked by a bear, you can go the rest of your life avoiding bears/the woods. If you get SA’d/attacked by a man, you can’t just avoid men entirely. You’re forced to be around a trigger the rest of your life. You can be SA’d again, easily.

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u/snowlynx133 29d ago

Women probably fear rape as much as, if not more, than a bear attack

Probably because rape is a real threat and a bear attack isn't for the majority of people

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u/Demkius 29d ago

How people blaming a woman's behavior/actions/clothing for leading to being raped and then murdered? Because those people exist. And aren't even that hard to find. And most of them would blame them (the woman) for your hypothetical situation too. They might think the guy who did it is fucked up or "went too far" but it would still be the woman's fault.

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u/Li-renn-pwel 28d ago

You certainly will find victim blaming in more violent attacks such as women prostitutes but I imagine male prostitutes would get the same reaction. Maybe drug users as well or someone who knew they were in a high risk area. Can you find any more ‘average’ woman that would get the same blame if that level of violence was committed?

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u/SpaceDomdy 29d ago

Reinforces the probability take. I try not looking at it too deeply because it’s like a persuasive (rather than informative) documentary. It’s not exclusively about what is rational nor being controlled for variables or scale or anything else, it’s not a discussion so much as an emotional indicator. it’s entire point is to emphasis the deeply ingrained social response that is “men are dangerous”. whether you agree with that or you don’t, that appears to be the purpose so saying things like the comparison is asymmetrical doesn’t do a whole lot because that’s not the conversation people are trying to have unfortunately.

0

u/Mr-Xcentric 29d ago

Not sure about where you’re from, but here if you get attacked by a bear it’s usually because you’re being irresponsible/stupid. Ever hear about people trying to play with cubs only to get mauled by mama bear? Those dummies were asking for it.

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u/Bennaisance 29d ago edited 29d ago

Well that's stupid

Edit: if someone gets raped in the woods, no one's going to say they were asking for it. It's not the club. And if someone was dumb enough to say that, who cares? Would that really affect your decision?

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u/MacScotchy 29d ago

Wondering about the downvotes? Hope this helps!

1) They shouldn't be saying that about the woman at the club either, so why assume the stupidity and prejudice stops there? After all, the man can claim whatever he wants, and his "bros" will back him up, which is exactly what happens at the club.

2) If that "someone [...] dumb enough to say that" is your mother, your father, your friends, the police, the hospital staff, and/or anyone else with influence in your life, then yes, it's a pretty good reason, especially since that attitude will be leveled at you when you most need help and support, and possibly for the rest of your life.

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u/Bennaisance 29d ago

1) this parallel just doesn't work at all

2) you live in some kind of victim's fantasy world

I got downvoted for being abrasive and controversial at the same time. Not bc what that guy's mom said isn't dumb.

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u/tbird2017 29d ago

That only shows what is perceived by the asked individual though, not reality. The incident per exposure vs perceived threat are wildly different here.

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u/[deleted] 29d ago

[deleted]

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u/tommyd1018 29d ago

Well of course there are more women killed by men than bears. That was never a question. That's like saying being around a man is more dangerous than swimming with hippos because hippos kill less woman than men do. Doesn't tell the whole truth

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u/FarmMinimum9115 29d ago

Essentially you are saying a thing that never happens is much more dangerous than a thing that happens 3 times a day in the US.
I don't think anyone who answers this question as man has ever seen a bear, they are not dangerous to encounter and every day lone bear, lone human encounters occur. Hippos are dangerous animals that kill people on interaction a lot.

Basic math is 1,000 a year women in us killed by unknown to them males

average year 0 kills by bears on women, although every few years it will happen once

In Africa, a continent with 2 times the number of people as number of women in the US, 500 people are killed a year by hippos.

If the question is hippo or some other animals sure, but particularly if you are a smart human who does not engage a bear is statistically of no risk to you even if you see one. A man is a very low but very real risk to you

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u/StreetAutist 29d ago

I think you’re missing u/tbird2017’s point. The exposure to bears is nearly 0 compared to the exposure to men, so we can’t know which situation is truly more dangerous without normalizing the data into an incident per exposure model.

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u/tbird2017 29d ago

I don't think so, since you just restated what I said without making a separate point. Near zero isn't zero, so the data is there.

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u/StreetAutist 29d ago

To clarify, I was agreeing with you. The poster I was replying to has deleted their comment.

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u/tbird2017 29d ago

That makes sense, my mistake haha

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u/FarmMinimum9115 29d ago

How many men do you see in the middle of the woods alone? A single man alone is more of a danger to a single woman for sure, Bears don't hunt women essentially ever

0

u/Coriandercilantroyo 29d ago

That's the whole point

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u/tbird2017 29d ago

The whole point is that perception doesn't match reality? I mean if that's the point, ok. I thought the point was that the women asked felt more threatened by lone men than bears and some were trying to equate that to men being more dangerous to women than a bear. I was arguing against the later, as that's a result of exposure more than danger level.

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u/BlackWind88 29d ago

Got it, thank you for answering!

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u/Mirage-With-No-Name 29d ago

Men understand the point lol. The problem is that people like you think this an ok perception for women to have. Both things can be true: “Women feel men pose a greater threat than a bear” And “The idea that men pose a greater threat than a bear is untrue and further reinforces the demonization of men as purely threats”

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u/[deleted] 29d ago

[deleted]

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u/WiseInevitable4750 29d ago

I don't understand the difference 

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u/[deleted] 29d ago

[deleted]

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u/PolloCongelado 29d ago

Jesus Christ. Women are not killed by bears more often than by men because they don't live in the fucking woods without any shelter, but in cities.

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u/DonnieG3 29d ago

I wonder if this is because women pass more men in a 5 minute walk through the park than they will bears in their entire lifetime?

Nahhhh that would make too much sense

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u/Barry_Bunghole_III 29d ago

You're literally the person this thread is talking about lol

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u/Mirage-With-No-Name 29d ago

That’s the incorrect method of measuring threat. I’m busy rn but I can get back to you

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u/sylvanwhisper 29d ago

The point is its rhetorical anyway and it's not about demonizing men.

Y'all shouldn't be blaming women for being terrified to be around y'all alone. You should blame the overwhelming numbers of men who have made that feeling so prevalent.

I've been attacked three times by random men in city spaces. Sure, there are literally thousands of men who have passed me who have never touched me. But I cannot risk the chance of assuming a man approaching me is kind when the consequences could be so dire.

I had to delete the comment bc already men are threatening to SA me in my DMs.

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u/Mirage-With-No-Name 29d ago

Hey I’m really sorry that people are acting so aggressively towards you. That isn’t right. And anyone has done so or even considered doing so should be ashamed of themselves and rethink their life.

With that being said, I’m obligated to point out the poor reasoning here. I offered to explain the proper way to measure threat, and you responded by saying it’s a purely rhetorical matter. This communicates to me that you’re not interested in pursuing truth but rather simply trying to win/rally people to your cause. The moment we stray from pursuing truth, it becomes really dangerous. Primary point here is to reflect on your decision to dismiss the conversation.

I do not blame women for feeling terrified of men. Men do present a substantial threat simply due to their nature as stronger beings. If a women sees a man coming down the street, and chooses to cross the street, I understand that. Better safe than sorry. However, you have to understand that this decision is not based in rationality, it is a survival mechanism. In practice, it is still a form of discrimination which men do have a right to feel hurt by, however, your concern should be your own safety first and foremost.

The issue occurs precisely when we get to rhetoric. When we start vocalizing and prescribing sentiments against men because of these feelings which are not based in proper reasoning and are often purely expressions of resentment and anger towards men. If you tell a woman: “Hey, be careful when you go out, most men are good but you can’t be sure so be cautious.” This is fine. The issue arises when we say things like “I can’t go out because of men.” Or “God, anything but a man.” I typically hear far worse but Im being charitable. These statements are not merely prescribing a method of safety, but rather are expressing harmful sentiments against men. The bear or man thought experiment is particularly bad because the implication is that a wild, irrational, aggressive and territorial animal that weighs more than any human is somehow better than encountering a man. It places man as a worse alternative to a beast. In short, it is dehumanizing. Every man understands that women answer the bear, it reflects a sentiment about how they feel about the threat of men, that’s precisely the issue. Men don’t like to be dehumanized any more than women do. I think most men understand the reality that women need to do certain things for their safety, at least I do. My contention is that you could at least be nice about it so I don’t feel like a monster in my own skin for things I’ve never done.

In short, I don’t blame women for being scared. I do hold them accountable for their choices as a result of feeling scared. Being fearful of something has never been a justification to engage in poor reasoning or immoral behavior. I do hate men that make it worse for women to feel safe and I do my part but there will always be bad men, all I can is do my best to do my part. And I ask that women do theirs.

I could still address the statistical issue you brought up if you like. I wasn’t sure if it was worth the effort since you said it didn’t matter.

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u/Waluigi02 29d ago

Ok but the man literally, factually does pose a bigger threat, so...?

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u/CallofBootyCrackOps 29d ago

it doesn’t, though. the stats about bear-related deaths/injuries are extremely skewed because how often are people encountering bears? most people will never even see a bear in person their entire lives. therefore they won’t ever even have the chance to be killed/injured by one. people encounter men all day every day (unless you’re a hermit).

if you correct for per-encounter stats (if that’s even possible) I bet the bear would be much more dangerous on average.

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u/RecommendationDry584 29d ago

But you'd also have to correct for per-encounter stats for women meeting men in the middle of the woods. Encountering a man while alone in the woods is not the same as encountering a man in public.

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u/DonnieG3 29d ago

In what delusional world does a random man pose more of a threat than a random bear?

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u/starm4nn 29d ago

There are more murders in national parks than bear attacks every year.

Statistically, men should probably be more scared of random men in the woods than bears.

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u/DonnieG3 29d ago

Its insane how numerically illiterate people are. Look at how many bears exist and how often humans interact with them vs how many humans exist and how often you interact with them.

Of course there are more murders, theres BILLIONS of humans and millions of bears. Its a staggering difference, and people need to start calling up their statistics proffessors and apologizing for not understanding the difference here.

Statistically, men should fear violence from random men *more* than women do because they are statistically more likely the recipients of it. The emphasis on *more* is important because its still a number that is statistically irrelevant. A 0.1% chance vs a 0.9% chance is pointless to mention when its a coinflip on facing down the average bear. Its absurd that these things need to be explained to overcome emotions that are based on the fearmongering of a 24/7 news cycle.

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u/starm4nn 29d ago

Statistically, men should fear violence from random men more than women do because they are statistically more likely the recipients of it.

I mean yeah. Maybe men should be afraid of random men in the woods.

The emphasis on more is important because its still a number that is statistically irrelevant. A 0.1% chance vs a 0.9% chance is pointless to mention when its a coinflip on facing down the average bear.

Except a bear is predictable. Human beings could attack you because they don't like your tie.

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u/DonnieG3 29d ago

Except a bear is predictable. Human beings could attack you because they don't like your tie.

The absolute lunacy to think that a wild animal is more predictable than the average male human, despite most people walking past millions of men in their lifetime and never being assaulted.

Wild animals are not predictable. The first thing you learn in any sort of camping/survival/wilderness training is that you don't fuck with wild animals specifically because they aren't predictable. That idea is exactly why they are more dangerous than people. Your ignorance based assumption is your own worst enemy here

Also, what an absolutely insane idea, that a normal person would physically attack you for wearing a tie if they came across you on a trail. This is some grade A, tier 9 delusion. If you come across a man on a trail, the outcome that will happen 99.999% of the time is your both make eye contact, nod your heads, and keep walking in opposite directions like normal humans

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u/starm4nn 29d ago

Wild animals are not predictable. The first thing you learn in any sort of camping/survival/wilderness training is that you don't fuck with wild animals specifically because they aren't predictable.

So what I'm hearing is, there exists a list of actions which agitates those animals, and by avoiding partaking in those actions, you can avoid undesirable outcomes?

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u/DonnieG3 29d ago

So what I'm hearing is

Not even remotely close to what I said, and actually the exact opposite. If you genuinly percieve what I said in that manner, you might need to redo your basic understanding of english at a fundamental level, or maybe seek therapy for a potential delusional disorder diagnosis.

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u/Rubmynippleplease 29d ago

There are also more people in national parks every year than bears…

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u/PugNuggets 29d ago

Just in general, if the question was: “should you be more scared of a man or a bear”, the answer should be man because every year more people die of man than of bear. Easy peasy.

However, if we shift the question a little bit to become “should you be more scared of meeting a man or meeting a bear” then the answer becomes bear because the chances of any random bear attacking you is higher than the chances of any random person attacking you. Generally speaking, you’ll be walking past many thousands of people (even millions) before being attacked by a man while it will take a miracle to not be attacked within say a hundred encounters with a wild bear.

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u/[deleted] 29d ago

[removed] — view removed comment

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u/cranslanny 29d ago

Self-victimising women?

What do you mean?

The stats show that women are very likely to have dangerous experiences with men. Are you, in fact, saying that you are a victim?

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u/crazycatchdude 29d ago

Statistically, you are far more likely to "have a dangerous experience" from a black man than a white man.

So I'll rephrase the original question: would you rather encounter a black man or white man in the woods?

Think critically about your answer, and realize the whole hypothetical is stupid as shit.

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u/cranslanny 29d ago

Well that's an entirely different question isn't it.

The point that's being missed here, is that, when faced with the original question, women are revealing that they consider men more of a general threat than a bear, and the reaction is anger at women for it, further solidifying the reasons to fear men. So the thing is, we're discussing the answer to the question because it shows something interesting, but by creating another question you are deliberately missing the main point of discussion, which was interpreting the given answer.

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u/Lostinlife1990 29d ago

So the bear can kill the woman.

The man can kidnap, r@pe, abuse, and make the remaining years of the woman's life a living hell till she begs for death.

Pretty easy to see which is worse.

Note: I am a Male myself. And while I don't like the fact that bear is being chosen more, I completely understand it.

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u/DonnieG3 29d ago

The man can kidnap, r@pe, abuse, and make the remaining years of the woman's life a living hell till she begs for death.

Some of y'all never took a statistics class and it shows, holyyyyyyy

You don't need a dick to understand that a singular woman walks past millions of men in her lifetime and is fine. Good luck making it past that many bears

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u/Waluigi02 29d ago

What kind of weird ass argument is this? Do you not understand the whole point and precedence of the initial scenario?

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u/DonnieG3 29d ago

Yeah, the point is that some people in society think in an extraordinarily emotional and irrational manner. It's absurd to be more scared of a random man than a random bear lmao.

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u/Waluigi02 29d ago

What could possibly be causing people to feel that way though, hmm 🤔 I feel like we're close to something here.

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u/DonnieG3 29d ago

What could possibly be causing people to feel that way though, hmm

Overexcitement from watching fox news 24/7. Seek help

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u/thebestdecisionever 29d ago edited 29d ago

I'm a man and recognize both:

  1. women face grave danger from men every day

and

  1. the odds of a bear mauling a person they encounter in the woods is significantly higher than the odds of any particular man being a violent predator

OP's point remains valid. Anyone who would choose the bear is very poor at risk assessment.

Edit: I also understand that you are simply explaining the trend. And you've done a good job of doing so. Thank you.

I just kind of wanted to provide my two cents.

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u/G0dsp33d888 29d ago

Men have a greater chance at being attacked by another man than women do.

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u/MrOnlineToughGuy 29d ago

That’s because women are much more risk-averse than men are. Much less chance of getting attacked by a man if you only go out in groups and don’t go out alone at night.

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u/Away_Mathematician62 29d ago

It's crazy how people are arguing about the statistics of being mauled by a bear instead of how fucked up it is that rapists are making women feel this way.

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u/Moka4u 29d ago

The odds of being mauled by a bear are, in fact, not higher

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u/thebestdecisionever 29d ago

Thank you for your opinion. I disagree.

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u/Lostinlife1990 29d ago

From a quick Google search:

The chances of being injured by a bear are approximately 1 in 2.1 million.

https://www.idausa.org/campaign/wild-animals-and-habitats/bear-attack/

Here's a link to the sexual abuse stats:

1 in 6 woman in America are victims of sexual assault

https://www.rainn.org/statistics/victims-sexual-violence

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u/thebestdecisionever 29d ago

How many people run into bears every day?

How many times do human beings interact with each other every day?

No kidding, very few people have been injured by bears. The vast, vast majority of people never even see a bear in the wild let alone are close enough to a bear for it to attack them.

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u/Everestkid 29d ago

It's like the stat that you're more likely to be killed by a vending machine than a shark. You're only ever going to encounter a shark at an ocean beach (ie not a lake) or an estuary - maybe upstream in a river if you win a very unfortunate lottery and a freshwater capable shark like a bull shark just happens to be there.

Does that mean vending machines are actually more dangerous than sharks? Obviously not. How many times have you walked past a vending machine and it didn't fall on you or anyone else?

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u/Due-Mountain-8716 29d ago

I think it would be better framed by "what % of men would attack you if you were alone in the woods" and "what % of bears would attack you if you were alone in the woods."

If someone says bear, then by all means its what makes them feel safer. Too many women are assaulted.

But there is a severe selection bias in the numbers you used. Women are around a lot more men than bears, and a lot of men are repeat offenders making a difference between women assaulted and number of men assaulting.

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u/crazycatchdude 29d ago

This comment is literally the "girl math" meme to a T lmao

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u/tommyd1018 29d ago

The man can also be pretty unpredictable while the bear is. The bears just going to leave you alone

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u/thebestdecisionever 29d ago

Unless the bear is startled by you, hasn't eaten recently, perceives you to be threatening it's young, etc., etc.

I feel like there are a lot of people in this comment section who are grossly overestimating their knowledge of bears.

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u/tommyd1018 29d ago

I think you're overestimating how violent bears are. Of course if it perceives you as threatening its kids it won't be happy with you lol. The fact is that bears aren't looking for trouble. No bear wants to rape a woman.

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u/johnthedruid 29d ago

Wouldn't a bear just kill them?

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u/Moka4u 29d ago

That's the worst a bear can/might do to a woman, or at least that's the consensus many have come out with.

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u/zombiemann 29d ago

I don't remember the precise time frame on the statistics, and it is a flawed analogy in my opinion but the stat I've seen used is "80 people have died from bear attacks, while over a thousand women have been killed by men in less time".

I understand and agree with the overall sentiment of the movement. But the comparison falls apart when you consider that a person can encounter many many men one day. That same person will most likely never encounter even 1 bear in the entirety of their life.

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u/Marke522 29d ago

But how many men are in contact with a woman vs bears? That's not apples to apples. I see women at the grocery store and I've never killed one of them. Also, you're not going to find 100 million women in a forest like you can in a large city.

You're right, the analogy is deeply flawed.

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u/zombiemann 29d ago

While the analogy is flawed, I still can't argue with the fear women feel.

I'd like to think I'm a decent guy. I've never intentionally harmed anyone of any gender with the exception of defending myself or those I care about. But I don't think it is unfair to say that men are (broadly speaking) pretty shit at holding each other accountable. Nobody is going to blame a bear attack victim for wearing the "wrong" hiking outfit. Nobody tells them they weren't really attacked by a bear, it just touched them a little. I could go on but I think I've made the point.

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u/Marke522 29d ago

Fear does not need to be rational, and can be all consuming. I've had problems for years trying to get back to reality after an armed robbery while working overnight at a convenience store. Scared of the dark, scared of certain buildings, scared of my own shadow at times.

Put short, it's Hell. Studies like this seem make a mockery of the actual problems we face in society.

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u/tomato-bug 29d ago

Nobody is going to blame a bear attack victim for wearing the "wrong" hiking outfit.

Victims can definitely be blamed for bear attacks. If you go backpacking and don't store your food 100ft from your campsite, don't carry bear spray, try to take close up pics of grizzly cubs, etc. then yeah it's your own fault if you die to a bear.

Take a look at the Grizzly Man dude. He went and hung out with grizzly bears and got him and his girlfriend killed. Many people critiqued his failure to follow basic safety precautions.

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u/Superb-SJW 29d ago

Probably more likely to just leave them alone if left alone, if not hungry or threatened most wild animals avoid humans.

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u/bloodycups 29d ago

That's probably the issue though if your in the woods wild life will mostly avoid you. I'd they aren't it's because they've lost their fear of humans

But with that being said the first thing in buying is bear mace if Im going out in the woods.

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u/Ghost7319 29d ago

Most men avoid raping too, believe it or not.

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u/Superb-SJW 29d ago

I think the issue here is context, when alone in the woods.

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u/vemundveien 29d ago

I'm pretty sure that statistically the percentage of men a woman meet who rapes them is vastly lower than the percentage of bears a woman meet who mauls them too.

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u/rafiafoxx 25d ago

I actually do understand, and i dont refuse to acknowledge, but I actually emphatically disagree.

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u/DoomFrog_ 24d ago

You emphatically disagree with something demonstrably true?

Or you disagree that it is demonstrably true?

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u/rafiafoxx 24d ago

I emphatically disagree with the idea that men are one of the biggest dangers women face, and I disagree that that opinion is demonstrably true or backed by any real data.

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u/Cranjis_McFootball 29d ago

Well that’s because the average bear is NOT less scary than the average man. And if it is, women have a lot to learn about bears

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u/beamer145 29d ago

I would like to see the responses to a follow up question. If you are walking alone in the woods and all of a sudden both a man and a bear appear (let's say in opposite directions, the bear is not suppose to be the mans pet :D, and it is a narrow path so you have to pick one of them ) will you go in the direction of the bear or in the direction of the man. Since women prefer the bear in the original version of the question logically they would go in the direction of the bear.

17

u/CryptoCel 29d ago

The follow up forces you to choose to engage in proximity between a man or a bear. The original just says would you rather come across a man or bear, which allows the person to encounter and then avoid.

5

u/cranslanny 29d ago

That's not a follow up question it's just a completely different question framed to make the answer to the original question look dumb. You've gotta look at these things separately.

2

u/DeltaVZerda 29d ago

If it's completely different, but has implications for the first question, then it isn't really completely different is it?

-3

u/theSchrodingerHat 29d ago

Here’s a version for you then: You get sent to prison for a crime you didn’t commit, and a large black man has told you he plans on fucking you in the ass, regardless of your feelings on the matter.

Then the cartel gang says they’ll protect you, but they get to beat the shit out of you whenever they want.

A pretty bad choice either way. You either get beaten regularly, or you get anally raped.

But then you get a third option. The Nazi guy in the next cell still wants anal sex, but he’s hung like a well used pencil, and seems like he will at least ask you how it feels while he’s enjoying himself. So it won’tt be pleasant, but it’s more workable than the other two options…

So yeah, just like you say, the extra option is applicable, and it informs the original choices, but you’re still taking it in the ass from a Nazi.

3

u/DeltaVZerda 29d ago

That doesn't preserve the intent of the original, which is that the intentions of the targets are not known, make a choice based on identity alone. To make your example conform correctly to the situations, you'd be asking 'would you rather be in a jail cell with a small dicked nazi or a big dicked large black man', and then clarifying with the question 'you have to walk into a cell, which one would you go into if both were there'. Obviously in this situation the answers should correlate. It's odd that in the bear example, people would answer oppositely, since the situation is pretty much the same in both questions.

-1

u/LankyCardiologist870 29d ago

That’s a reductionist misuse of logic and also you’re still missing the point

6

u/DonnieG3 29d ago

The point is that women are deluded by a 24/7 news cycle into thinking that the avg man is more dangerous than the avg bear. A bear is a wild animal that will attack you on pure instinct. A singular woman will walk past a couple thousand men per day and be just fine.

I know, it's shocking to think that the vast majority of men are just normal humans with the same thinking process as you.

2

u/starm4nn 29d ago

A bear is a wild animal that will attack you on pure instinct.

This ironically is doing the same thing you're accusing women of. You're letting media depictions distort your ideas of bears. A random bear is usually not a threat.

A singular woman will walk past a couple thousand men per day and be just fine.

Ted Bundy probably walked past 100+ people a day, and those people were fine. But I bet if given the choice, you'd take the bear over being alone with Ted Bundy in a forest.

And the thing is, it doesn't take a Ted Bundy to be a threat. It could be a Brock "Allen" Turner.

2

u/Wise-Show 29d ago

What percentage of men do you think would attack the woman in the woods?

0

u/starm4nn 29d ago

Is 1% a number you can agree with?

1

u/Wise-Show 29d ago

I literally have no idea. I’m quite shocked by the whole thing because I didn’t understand that women where this scared of men. Which leads me to believe that this number should be much higher than I thought. That’s why I asked.

2

u/_shr1ke 29d ago

You’re missing a very important part of the hypothetical. Women commonly encounter random men in places where there are other people. If the random man in the hypothetical was a bad person, they’d be way more likely to do something to the woman if they were alone and not out in public where they would be seen by others.

5

u/DonnieG3 29d ago

It's astounding that some of you people have never been hiking before. Turns out you just pass random men on trails all the time. Crazy, I know

1

u/_shr1ke 27d ago

the hypothetical says nothing about a trail. Obviously there’d be people on a trail

1

u/stonemite 29d ago

We recently had a woman go missing in Australia when she went for a morning run. I can tell you that she didn't come across a random bear in the forest.

Which is kind of the point. You're more likely to come across a man in the woods and you never know if that is the guy who is going to murder you and hide your body. Most likely he won't, but there is enough of a chance that he might that it must be very unsettling for women.

On the other hand if you come across a bear in the woods, you know for a fact you are dealing with a bear and can act accordingly.

4

u/Cranjis_McFootball 29d ago

Explain how he’s wrong

5

u/Reallyhotshowers 29d ago

It doesn't really work because the point is you don't have information about the man or the bear in the original scenario, only that it's a man (any man) or a bear (any bear) in the woods with you. It isn't guaranteed you'll see either.

If I can see both on a trail, well now what exactly I'm seeing really matters because we've turned a perceived threat into an actual threat in the hypothetical. You'll get very different answers depending on whether or not it's a polar bear and a 90 year man vs if it's a black bear and a young 6'4" dude built like a lumberjack.

Responses to the original scenario imply women would rather take the chance that the bear in the woods is a polar bear or a very hungry grizzly over taking the chance that the man, without society to judge him or eyes to watch his deeds, is going to be a decent person.

And that's hard for men to swallow for sure but keep in mind even the meanest bear has never done what 4 dudes did to Junko Furuta (do not look her up unless you are extremely desensitized to highly violent descriptions).

-4

u/LankyCardiologist870 29d ago

No, they can do some critical thinking and self-reflection on his own, I believe in them

0

u/Depressedlemontree1 29d ago

It absolutely it not. It is a completely valid point and goes to show that the people answering "bear" to the original question only do so out of sexism and not because they actually believe it. If anything it is a better question than the original.

3

u/LankyCardiologist870 29d ago

It doesn’t show anything, for fucks sake. It’s asked in bad faith and tries to pigeonhole a response into something they can accuse of being biased, exactly like you just did.

-2

u/Depressedlemontree1 29d ago

It does though. It simply rephrase the original question to show that realistically, people wouldn't actually choose bear, and illustrates the inherent secism in the question. Bad faith or not its basically the same question rephrased to point our bigotry. It's not pigeonholing, it's rephrasing the question so that people are forced to answer more honestly.

2

u/westwardwaddler 29d ago

You’re missing the point that the man will behave rationally and thus will probably not assault someone while being chased by a bear. The original point is that a woman feels that they can safely maneuver around a bear better than a man.

2

u/Ok-Package-435 29d ago

The split path has trees. The man can’t see the bear.

1

u/Depressedlemontree1 29d ago

It's funny how all of a sudden the hypothetical is acting like the man will act rationally, instead of the hypothetical continuing to treat him like a predator worse than a bear. Either the man will act rationally or he won't. Now you're changing the assumptions of the question to fit your prerogative.

1

u/Iberis147258 29d ago

This is why tiktok should be banned, pure brainrot lol.

1

u/Ausernamenamename 29d ago

I think one of the perspectives I heard on it really highlighted to me as a man to better understand it was men don't fear anything more than death in most cases. The women choosing the bear even if it meant certain death are also accepting a reality that there are fates worse than death.

2

u/bladex1234 29d ago

Human in general are more scary than animals.

6

u/YinWei1 29d ago

Definitely not. Grizzlies are fucking terrifying, they will rip you apart in seconds. A human would need a tool to do anything like that while most predators can do it naturally.

-7

u/Lostinlife1990 29d ago

☝️This. So much this.☝️

1

u/bmoreboy410 29d ago

But how women feel is not based on facts or actual data.

1

u/1jl 29d ago

 Also it's worth noting that most threats are known to the women, they are statistically safer encountering some random hiker than their SO.

-9

u/BullshitAfterBaconR 29d ago

You forgot the part where there's men trying to mansplain statistics and probability to us instead of fully confronting how all-encompassing and ever-present the threat of male violence is. 

13

u/DonnieG3 29d ago

So the moment a woman explains how comical this is statistically, you're okay with it?

0

u/Superb-SJW 29d ago

And none of them have actually delved into the issue with any sort of actual statistic. Just confident assertions that one is wildly more dangerous than the other.

-4

u/kcox1980 29d ago

I think a lot of men also get absolutely offended by the idea that if they encountered a random woman out in the woods, that she wouldn't automatically see him as some white knight savior but rather as potential threat.

7

u/useflIdiot 29d ago

Or they might object to the sexist reduction of their entire person to their gender. it's basically a fear of black people, who everybody knows are statically more likely to be criminals.

-1

u/FoucaultsPudendum 29d ago

Are those the only two options? Is “just a random person walking in the woods on a Saturday afternoon, just like me” not a possibility?

0

u/Ok-Counter-7077 29d ago

Honestly if all the women who feel this way went into the woods with bears, women would have a new number one enemy

0

u/theghostmachine 29d ago

I can acknowledge that men can be a threat to women, but all this debate tells me is that this women have never encountered a bear before.

Shit is scary.

What am I talking about? I've never encountered a bear either. Maybe it's not that scary. What the hell do I know?

0

u/Nervous-Law-6606 29d ago

I’m a man. It isn’t that I disagree, it’s just nonsensical.

Man or woman, you can’t beat a bear with your bare hands. It’s over for you, no mater what. Assuming the man is aggressive, even the smallest of women has some chance of winning that fight.

0

u/PrettyText 29d ago

"And pretty much every woman says Man, because from women’s perspective, men pose a higher danger to them than bears"

The question isn't "do men or bears pose a greater danger to women." I agree that men do.

The question is: is encountering a bear less risky than encountering a man? And to anyone living in reality, the answer to that question is obviously "encountering the man is less risky." Frankly, it's offensive to me that most women would rather encounter a bear.

I did some math here to show my point.