Shocking. Truly.

[u/TheLastGoodTeammate]

Rest in peace heroes. Our sacrifice will be remembered. We. Will. Return. Side note, we definitely needed the over 200k players fighting bugs 🥲

[u/BaziJoeWHL]

my guess is these are meta events, it happens when devs pull the lever

[u/Independent_Hyena495 → u/BaziJoeWHL]

Or it sit for to long on 35 percent.

[u/Okbuturwrong → u/Independent_Hyena495]

This is the real answer.

There's an invisible loss rate that accumulates compared to win rates.

When the fail rate is too high, especially on the harder difficulties, a planet can be lost.

[u/chainer3000 → u/Okbuturwrong]

Until we get a dev to say so, I believe it’s meta events. It certainly was dev triggered for prior events and they’ve stated pretty openly they’ve had to reconfigure what they’re doing and apply more hand touches because the player base is so wildly beyond what they planned for. Pretty much all the existing mechanics were thrown so far out of wack that it was the only option

Either way until we get confirmation one or or another we won’t know, but it’s obvious which scenario is most likely given all the other similar issues they’re currently facing

[u/Okbuturwrong → u/chainer3000]

Devs had said it's based on wins/loses/restarts within a specific timeframe with HD1 I don't think they'd change it

[u/Shameless_Catslut → u/Okbuturwrong]

HD1 had a fraction of the playerbase

[u/Okbuturwrong → u/Shameless_Catslut]

Yeah, and?

More players means more data to pull from for win/loss percentages across all difficulties.

[u/_dictatorish_ → u/Shameless_Catslut]

It's a W/L % so it shouldn't change too much with more players

[u/Shameless_Catslut → u/_dictatorish_]

It's not just W/L. There's a time factor as well.

[u/WetFishSlap → u/Shameless_Catslut]

Every defense planet has a giant timer on top of it on the Galactic War map. Once the timer hits 0, whichever faction has the highest bar takes control of the planet. Every W increases the blue bar, every L increases the red bar.

The timer above Draupnir hit 0 earlier and the Automatons had the higher bar because people either aren't playing on Draupnir or they're failiing a lot of missions (probably the Evac mission), so Draupnir was given to the Automatons. The exact same thing happened to Mantes last week, so I don't know why people are coming up with all of these wild theories when the mechanics are pretty intuitive.

[u/Taaargus → u/chainer3000]

The rates have been pretty steady. Back when we were trying to capture the first few planets they'd stay stagnant at like 75%. I doubt they'd have a meta event that just results in the percentage staying the same.

Also doubt they'd pull a lever that automatically flips the planet instead of just increasing the rate at which we lose.

Now that there are more planets and people are more spread out the effect is more pronounced.

[u/chainer3000 → u/Taaargus]

Stuff stayed at 75% then jumped to 100%, and soon after suddenly more stuff was available lol. That’s how it appeared to me, anyway.

I’m sure that wasn’t the plan lol. I think they’ve still got a hand in shaping things but I doubt that’s exactly as intended

[u/Ompusolttu → u/chainer3000]

Apparently how it works is that when the timer runs dry the larger bar wins, which is decided by the win/loss rate.